Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Varvara Gracheva		Elena Gabriela Ruse

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.11	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.8)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
43.9%

Elena Gabriela Ruse
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Gracheva's form might have worsened.

Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Gabriela Ruse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varvara Gracheva - Elena Gabriela Ruse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 82. Ruse is ranked WTA: 100.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ruse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Elena Gabriela Ruse - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Osaka
12.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
06.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Iva Jovic - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva	Tomljanovic A. retired ✺
WTA Beijing
21.09.25	Varvara Gracheva - Lanlana Tararudee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLW?L
- Elena Gabriela Ruse
WTA Osaka
12.10.25	Dominika Salkova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
26.09.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Cleveland
18.08.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Varvara Gracheva - Elena Gabriela Ruse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide