Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: STANFORD (USA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday


	Emilio Nava		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.72
	2.16	1.75
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.29	1.59	Watch
	2.17	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.5)	1.67 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
43.6%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emilio Nava's performance.

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Kovacevic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emilio Nava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Kovacevic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Emilio Nava - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nava is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kovacevic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Federico Gaio - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Ethan Quinn - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Emilio Nava - Evan Burnett	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Emilio Nava - Calum Puttergill	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Denis Yevseyev - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Adrian Andreev - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Denis Kudla - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
05.08.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
03.08.23	Dominik Koepfer - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.10.22	Emilio Nava - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2
ATP San Diego
18.09.22	Emilio Nava - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0

Emilio Nava - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide