Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.41	3.09
	1.41	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	2.93	Watch
	1.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)	2.95 ↑ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
67.8%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 94.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
15.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Acapulco
23.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alan Magadan	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
05.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Canceled ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
05.08.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0

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