Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Emilio Nava		Juan Pablo Ficovich

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.77	2.01	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
51.9%

Juan Pablo Ficovich
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Juan Pablo Ficovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Ficovich than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Ficovich Predictions

Users Predictions: Emilio Nava will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 238. Ficovich is ranked ATP: 169.

Recent matches Nava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ficovich is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Pablo Ficovich - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Emilio Nava - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
22.02.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
03.02.25	Emilio Nava - Alex Barrena	Barrena A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLL?
- Juan Pablo Ficovich
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Pablo Ficovich	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.01.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Ficovich	1:2

Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Ficovich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide