Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Emma Raducanu		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.8	1.95	Watch
	1.91	1.97
	1.82	1.96	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.84	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.13)	1.97 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emma Raducanu
51.7%

Marta Kostyuk
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emma Raducanu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emma Raducanu's performance.

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marta Kostyuk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Raducanu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emma Raducanu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marta Kostyuk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Emma Raducanu - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Raducanu will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raducanu: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Raducanu (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kostyuk (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Raducanu is ranked WTA: 49. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 36.

Raducanu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kostyuk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kostyuk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raducanu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emma Raducanu
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Suzan Lamens - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
26.03.25	Emma Raducanu - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Emma Raducanu - Amanda Anisimova	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Emma Raducanu - McCartney Kessler	Kessler M. retired ✺
21.03.25	Emma Navarro - Emma Raducanu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLW?W
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.25	Mirra Andreeva - Marta Kostyuk	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
24.03.25	Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Anna Blinkova - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Kimberly Birrell - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.25	Qinwen Zheng - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
01.05.22	Emma Raducanu - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Cluj Napoca 2
29.10.21	Emma Raducanu - Marta Kostyuk	0:2

Emma Raducanu - Marta Kostyuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide