Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SOFIA (BULGARIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Ergi Kirkin		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
			Watch
	3.6	1.26
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.84	1.27
	3.84	1.28
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.36)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
25.9%

Francesco Passaro
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ergi Kirkin - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kirkin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Passaro will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Kirkin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Passaro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kirkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Passaro is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
29.10.23	Jelle Sels - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Ergi Kirkin - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ergi Kirkin - Ugo Blanchet	Kirkin E. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Seong Chan Hong - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Jozef Kovalik - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LL?LL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
01.11.23	David Goffin - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
31.10.23	Francesco Passaro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Francesco Passaro - Benjamin Hassan	Canceled ✺
26.09.23	Francesco Passaro - Mate Valkusz	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Francesco Passaro - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LW?LL

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