Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln (Austria), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Referee: El Jennati M. (Mar)


	Ergi Kirkin		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.96	1.87
	1.91	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.85	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.66)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
49.2%

Marvin Moeller
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ergi Kirkin's form might have worsened.

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marvin Moeller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marvin Moeller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ergi Kirkin - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kirkin is ranked ATP: 287. Moeller is ranked ATP: 345.

Recent matches Kirkin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moeller is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moeller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
22.08.24	Ergi Kirkin - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Ergi Kirkin - Yshai Oliel	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Ergi Kirkin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Andrew Paulson - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWL
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Marvin Moeller - Mate Valkusz	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Ivan Gakhov - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Ivan Gakhov - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

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