Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasov (Romania), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday

Referee: Stanciulescu L. (Rou)


	Ergi Kirkin		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.42	1.58
	2.24	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.26	1.6	Watch
	2.21	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.74)	1.58 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
41.1%

Matej Dodig
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ergi Kirkin's performance.

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matej Dodig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ergi Kirkin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matej Dodig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	0%	70.8%

Ergi Kirkin - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Kirkin will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Dodig will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dodig: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kirkin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dodig is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kirkin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dodig will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
02.07.24	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.06.24	Ergi Kirkin - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Ergi Kirkin - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Ergi Kirkin - Leo Lagarrigue	2:0 ✺
25.06.24	Ergi Kirkin - Fadi Bidan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
02.07.24	Matej Dodig - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
18.06.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Matej Dodig - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Matej Dodig - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
13.06.24	Matej Dodig - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

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