Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 8 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Eric Vanshelboim		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.76	2.03
	1.76	1.88	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eric Vanshelboim
51.2%

Gianmarco Ferrari
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eric Vanshelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eric Vanshelboim than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Eric Vanshelboim - Gianmarco Ferrari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vanshelboim is ranked ATP: 407., and Ferrari is ranked ATP: 488..

Vanshelboim is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ferrari has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vanshelboim may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Vanshelboim has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Gianmarco Ferrari - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eric Vanshelboim
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Pietro Marino	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Valerio Bracci	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Eric Vanshelboim	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Sebastiano Cocola	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Tymur Bieldiugin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Samuele Seghetti - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Giannicola Misasi - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Cesare Carpano - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Andrey Chepelev - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0
30.05.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2

Eric Vanshelboim - Gianmarco Ferrari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide