Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Eric Vanshelboim		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
	2.55	1.44
	2.55	1.43
	2.58	1.46
	2.58	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.59	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.83)	1.44 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eric Vanshelboim
35.9%

Petr Nesterov
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eric Vanshelboim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eric Vanshelboim's form might have worsened.

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eric Vanshelboim than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eric Vanshelboim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eric Vanshelboim - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vanshelboim is ranked ATP: 522. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 408.

Recent matches Vanshelboim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nesterov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nesterov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nesterov will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Nesterov to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eric Vanshelboim
ITF Tournaments
15.10.24	Andrej Nedic - Eric Vanshelboim	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Vit Kopriva - Eric Vanshelboim	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Francisco Rocha	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Martin Klizan - Eric Vanshelboim	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWL
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
19.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
18.10.24	Andrej Martin - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW

Eric Vanshelboim - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide