Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 East Lansing, MI, hard - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Erik Arutiunian		Aidan McHugh

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.69
	2.10	1.64	Watch
	2.02	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.74)	1.67 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erik Arutiunian
44.5%

Aidan McHugh
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erik Arutiunian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erik Arutiunian's form might have worsened.

Aidan McHugh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aidan McHugh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erik Arutiunian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aidan McHugh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erik Arutiunian - Aidan McHugh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 503. McHugh is ranked ATP: 530.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Arutiunian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erik Arutiunian
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Vignesh Gogineni - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Erik Arutiunian - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Erik Arutiunian - Jeremy Zhang	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Erik Arutiunian - Mitchell Sheldon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Aidan McHugh
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Aidan McHugh - Ozan Baris	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Matthew Forbes - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Petar Jovanovic - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Shu Matsuoka - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Aidan McHugh - Alex Martinez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Erik Arutiunian - Aidan McHugh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide