Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: San Sebastian, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Eva Vedder		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.36
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	2.83	1.39	Watch
	2.77	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (1.83)	1.38 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eva Vedder
32.4%

Arantxa Rus
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eva Vedder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eva Vedder's form might have worsened.

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arantxa Rus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Vedder than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eva Vedder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eva Vedder - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vedder is ranked WTA: 235. Rus is ranked WTA: 131.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vedder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Arantxa Rus - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eva Vedder
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Katarina Zavatska - Eva Vedder	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Aneta Kucmova - Eva Vedder	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Marcelina Podlinska - Eva Vedder	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Eva Vedder - Ayana Akli	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Eva Vedder	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Maja Chwalinska - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Dalila Spiteri - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
22.08.25	Tereza Valentova - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Jodie Anna Burrage - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW

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