Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Evan Zhu		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.65	1.42
	2.85	1.40
	2.83	1.45
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.65)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
33.8%

Pedro Martinez Portero
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+5%)

Evan Zhu - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhu is ranked ATP: 600. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 151.

Zhu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martinez Portero's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zhu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martinez Portero will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Andrew Fenty - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Tauheed Browning - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.26	Timo Legout - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Maximus Dussault - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Evan Zhu - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
23.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Henrique Rocha - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWW

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