Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Henrique Rocha		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.73	2.07	Watch
	1.75	2.24
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.72	2.16	Watch
	1.75	2.07	Watch
	1.74	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.91)	2.1 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
54.8%

Pedro Martinez Portero
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Henrique Rocha - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Martinez Portero (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Martinez Portero (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 2 - 50%). Martinez Portero (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 124. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 157.

Rocha is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Martinez Portero has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Umag
13.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Estoril
19.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - S D Prajwal Dev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

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