Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Kaukeyeva M. (Kaz)


	Evgeny Donskoy		Yan Bai

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.36	1.61
	2.28	1.59	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.49)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evgeny Donskoy
40.2%

Yan Bai
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evgeny Donskoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Donskoy than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Evgeny Donskoy - Yan Bai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donskoy is ranked ATP: 267. Bai is ranked ATP: 277.

Recent matches Donskoy is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bai in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Donskoy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bai will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bai to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Donskoy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evgeny Donskoy
ATP Challenger
19.07.24	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Evgeny Donskoy	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Grigoriy Lomakin - Evgeny Donskoy	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Evgeny Donskoy	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Yan Bai	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Hoang Nam Ly - Evgeny Donskoy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW
- Yan Bai
ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Yan Bai - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Yan Bai - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Yan Bai - Ajeet Rai	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Yan Bai - Woobin Shin	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Yan Bai - Weiyi Kong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Yan Bai	0:2
ATP Challenger
30.04.19	Yan Bai - Evgeny Donskoy	1:2
09.03.17	Evgeny Donskoy - Yan Bai	2:0

Evgeny Donskoy - Yan Bai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide