Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday


	Fabian Marozsan		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.75	2.07
	1.78	2.20
	1.73	2.06	Watch
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.78	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.5)	2.09 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
54.4%

Alex Molcan
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabian Marozsan's form might have worsened.

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Molcan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Molcan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Fabian Marozsan - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Molcan will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 61. Molcan is ranked ATP: 101.

Recent form of Marozsan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Molcan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Marozsan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Molcan will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Halle
18.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.26	Gauthier Onclin - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Fabian Marozsan	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Fabian Marozsan - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Alex Molcan
ATP Mallorca
21.06.26	Alex Molcan - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Alex Molcan - Ziga Sesko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Alex Molcan - Petr Brunclik	Canceled ✺
07.06.26	Sebastian Baez - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Hynek Barton - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WW?LW

Fabian Marozsan - Alex Molcan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide