Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAGLIARI (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday


	Fabian Marozsan		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.32	1.6	Watch
	2.32	1.63
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.68)	1.58 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
41%

Ben Shelton
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Shelton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fabian Marozsan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ben Shelton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Fabian Marozsan - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Shelton will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are in bad shape now.

Marozsan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shelton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
16.04.23	Fabian Marozsan - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.23	Fabian Marozsan - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
02.04.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alessandro Giannessi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Casper Ruud - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Ben Shelton - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
06.04.23	Dominic Thiem - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL

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