Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.95
	1.42	2.9
	1.42	3.12
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3	Watch
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)	2.92 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
67.4%

Ben Shelton
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan-Lennard Struff's performance.

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Shelton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan-Lennard Struff that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ben Shelton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	0%	27.6%

Jan Lennard Struff - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Shelton will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shelton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Struff is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.23	Alexander Ritschard - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.23	Andrey Rublev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Casper Ruud - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Ben Shelton - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
06.04.23	Dominic Thiem - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
04.04.23	Constant Lestienne - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW

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