Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Mackenzie McDonald		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.77	2.06
	1.73	2.11
	1.73	2.22
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.9)	2.11 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
55%

Ben Shelton
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.5%	0%	34.5%

Mackenzie McDonald - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Shelton will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches McDonald is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shelton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shelton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Ivan Gakhov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	N/A ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Quentin Halys - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 L?LWW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Ben Shelton - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
06.04.23	Dominic Thiem - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
04.04.23	Constant Lestienne - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

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