Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Fabian Marozsan		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.58	1.55	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
	2.31	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.13)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
40.1%

Juncheng Shang
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	0%	25.9%

Fabian Marozsan - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Shang will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 58. Shang is ranked ATP: 50.

Marozsan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shang is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shang will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marozsan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Hong Kong
02.01.25	Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
30.12.24	Roman Safiullin - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Belgrade 2
07.11.24	Laslo Djere - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Fabian Marozsan - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Juncheng Shang - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWLWW
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Hong Kong
02.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
31.12.24	Juncheng Shang - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
20.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
19.12.24	Juncheng Shang - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:3 ✺
18.12.24	Juncheng Shang - Luca Van Assche	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Belgrade 2
03.11.24	Juncheng Shang - Fabian Marozsan	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Juncheng Shang - Fabian Marozsan	2:0
ATP Australian Open
09.01.23	Fabian Marozsan - Juncheng Shang	0:2

Fabian Marozsan - Juncheng Shang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide