Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Next Gen Finals - Jeddah (World), hard (indoor)

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alex Michelsen		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.3	3.3
	1.26	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.59
	1.31	3.6	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.81	Watch
	1.26	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.35)	3.68 ↑ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
74.2%

Juncheng Shang
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Michelsen - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Played with special rules.

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 41. Shang is ranked ATP: 50.

Michelsen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shang is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 2 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Next Gen Finals
19.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Luca Van Assche	3:1 ✺
18.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1 ✺
ATP Metz
08.11.24	Alex Michelsen - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
07.11.24	Alex Michelsen - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Alex Michelsen - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Next Gen Finals
19.12.24	Juncheng Shang - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:3 ✺
18.12.24	Juncheng Shang - Luca Van Assche	1:3 ✺
ATP Belgrade 2
03.11.24	Juncheng Shang - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.24	Juncheng Shang - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Juncheng Shang - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.07.23	Juncheng Shang - Alex Michelsen	1:2
04.10.22	Juncheng Shang - Alex Michelsen	1:2

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