The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fabio Fognini 61.1%
Alexei Popyrin 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.3%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.
Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexei Popyrin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.5%
0%
17.5%
Fabio Fognini - Alexei Popyrin Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fabio Fognini will win
(80 of 97 users predict this - 82.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.9% – 90.04%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Fognini is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Popyrin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Popyrin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Fognini will have a mini benefit in this match.
Our prediction for today's Popyrin to win the game is with odds 2.53.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.