Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday


	Fabio Fognini		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.34
	1.58	2.28	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.41)	2.29 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
59.2%

Daniel Rincon
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Rincon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Fabio Fognini - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Rincon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rincon: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 83. Rincon is ranked ATP: 244.

Recent matches Fognini is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rincon is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fognini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fognini will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Belgrade 2
05.11.24	Roman Safiullin - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Arthur Cazaux - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Fabio Fognini - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
19.10.24	Henry Bernet - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWL
- Daniel Rincon
ITF Tournaments
26.10.24	Daniel Rincon - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Daniel Rincon - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Daniel Rincon - Iannis Miletich	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Daniel Rincon - Alessandro Spadola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.08.23	Daniel Rincon - Fabio Fognini	2:1

Fabio Fognini - Daniel Rincon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide