The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fabio Fognini 33%
Fabian Marozsan 67%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
59.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.
Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabian Marozsan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
0%
70%
Fabio Fognini - Fabian Marozsan Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Marozsan will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Fognini is ranked ATP: 77.Marozsan is ranked ATP: 56.
Recent matches Fognini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Marozsan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Marozsan will have a small advantage in this match.
Watch
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