Match Info

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday


	Fabio Fognini		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2.1
	1.81	2.1
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.77	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)	2.06 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
53.6%

Hugo Gaston
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Fabio Fognini - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Fognini is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Marrakech
01.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Lucas Miedler	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Fabio Fognini - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Fabio Fognini - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Fabio Fognini - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
14.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Hugo Gaston - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Hugo Gaston - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.24	Hugo Gaston - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

Fabio Fognini - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide