Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino (San Marino), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Fabio Fognini		Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.66	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)	2.63 ↓ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
64.4%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fabio Fognini - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 74. Vincent Ruggeri is ranked ATP: 280.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Vincent Ruggeri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fognini is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Fabio Fognini - Pedro Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Fabio Fognini - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Luca Van Assche - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
19.07.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW
- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
23.07.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
11.07.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
08.07.24	Richard Gasquet - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
01.07.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWL

Fabio Fognini - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide