Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Guido Ivan Justo		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.54	1.56
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Ivan Justo
40.4%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Guido Ivan Justo - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Justo will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Justo is ranked ATP: 277. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 205.

Justo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guillen Meza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Justo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Guillen Meza will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Justo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.12%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - James Duckworth	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLW??

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.02.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Justo G. I. retired
12.08.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0

Guido Ivan Justo - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide