Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.68	2.28
	1.64	2.16	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)	2.12 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
55.9%

Hugo Dellien
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Dellien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Dellien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Dellien will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 179. Dellien is ranked ATP: 133.

Diaz Acosta has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dellien is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dellien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Dellien will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.14%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.86%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Ryan Seggerman - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Hugo Dellien - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Dellien	2:1
18.10.21	Hugo Dellien - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1

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