Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Henry Bernet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.7	Watch
	1.4	3.11
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.43	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	2.84 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
67.2%

Henry Bernet
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Henry Bernet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henry Bernet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Henry Bernet Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 181. Bernet is ranked ATP: 503.

Diaz Acosta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bernet has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diaz Acosta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Hernan Casanova - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Diaz Acosta F. Retired ✺
07.04.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WWWW
- Henry Bernet
ATP Challenger
23.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Henry Bernet - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Henry Bernet - Moise Kouame	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Henry Bernet - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Henry Bernet - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Henry Bernet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide