Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - Final

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.48	2.60	Watch
	1.49	2.84
	1.45	2.68	Watch
	1.45	2.80	Watch
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.42	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.46)	2.7 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
65.1%

Marco Cecchinato
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 120. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 195.

Diaz Acosta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cecchinato has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Diaz Acosta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Gustavo Heide - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Pierluigi Basile - Marco Cecchinato	Basile P. Retired ✺
02.07.26	Marco Cecchinato - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Filippo Romano - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Marco Cecchinato - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0
21.10.22	Marco Cecchinato - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Marco Cecchinato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide