Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Pierluigi Basile		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.93	1.45
	2.76	1.39	Watch
	2.85	1.42	Watch
	2.81	1.38	Watch
	2.6	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.47)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierluigi Basile
34%

Marco Cecchinato
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierluigi Basile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pierluigi Basile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Pierluigi Basile - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: Marco Cecchinato will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basile is ranked ATP: 839. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 195.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Basile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cecchinato could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierluigi Basile
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Elmer Moller - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pierluigi Basile	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLLW
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Marco Cecchinato - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Filippo Romano - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Pierluigi Basile - Marco Cecchinato	2:1

Pierluigi Basile - Marco Cecchinato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide