Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Milan 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Miguel Tobon

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Facundo Diaz Acosta
81.8%

Miguel Tobon
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 120. Tobon is ranked ATP: 449.

Diaz Acosta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tobon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Diaz Acosta is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diaz Acosta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
22.06.26	Miguel Tobon - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Yanaki Milev - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Miguel Tobon - Alexander Vasilev	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Pietro Ricci - Miguel Tobon	Tobon M. Walkover ✺
07.06.26	Peter Fajta - Miguel Tobon	Fajta P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWL??

ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Miguel Tobon	Canceled

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Miguel Tobon