Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HEILBRONN (GERMANY), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.12	1.68
	2.28	1.69
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.15	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.14)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
43.5%

Matteo Arnaldi
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Diaz Acosta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
10.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Akira Santillan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Maxime Janvier - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
06.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Oscar Otte	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.23	Jason Kubler - Facundo Diaz Acosta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
10.06.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
06.06.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.09.21	Matteo Arnaldi - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2

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