Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - Final

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.60	2.20
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.7	2.3
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.59	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	2.21 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
57.5%

Gustavo Heide
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gustavo Heide could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 127. Heide is ranked ATP: 187.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
19.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
19.06.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Gustavo Heide - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2
18.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Gustavo Heide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide