Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday


	Michele Ribecai		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.70	1.24
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	4.37	1.27
	3.78	1.23	Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.73	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.18)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
24.8%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michele Ribecai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michele Ribecai - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 283. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 127.

Recent performances by Ribecai have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Diaz Acosta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Diaz Acosta is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 70.98%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
26.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zhizhen Zhang	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

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