Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Hynek Barton

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.71
	1.47	2.49	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)	2.52 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
62.9%

Hynek Barton
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Hynek Barton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hynek Barton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hynek Barton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 127. Barton is ranked ATP: 247.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Barton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diaz Acosta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.46%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Hynek Barton - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.54%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
26.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zhizhen Zhang	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	August Holmgren - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Hynek Barton - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Hynek Barton - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Hynek Barton - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. Retired ✺
07.06.26	Hynek Barton - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	1:2
10.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	2:1

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