Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.25	1.67
			Watch
	1.94	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
46%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 199. Tirante is ranked ATP: 121.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Tirante will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Lukas Klein - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Patrick Zahraj - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
30.06.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
09.02.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Diaz Acosta F. retired
ATP Cordoba
04.02.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Canceled

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide