Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.17	Watch
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.71	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.91)	2.18 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
56.7%

Ignacio Buse
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Augustin Tirante's performance.

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ignacio Buse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Tirante (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 92. Buse is ranked ATP: 91.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tirante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Cerundolo F. retired ✺
16.02.26	Christian Garin - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Hyeon Chung - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 L?WLW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Igor Marcondes - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Laslo Djere - Ignacio Buse	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ignacio Buse	2:0

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ignacio Buse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide