Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.79	Watch
	1.85	2.04
	1.91	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	1.96	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.32)	1.85 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
48.6%

Thiago Monteiro
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Monteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Monteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	0%	57.9%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Monteiro will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 75. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 100.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Monteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Diaz Acosta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Diaz Acosta F. retired ✺
13.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zizou Bergs	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
08.01.25	Gael Monfils - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 L?WLW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.25	Thiago Monteiro - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Thiago Monteiro	3:2 ✺
09.01.25	Thiago Monteiro - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Thiago Monteiro - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Thiago Monteiro - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro	Diaz Acosta F. retired
05.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1
06.11.18	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro	0:2

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide