Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Pierluigi Basile		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.04	1.8
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierluigi Basile
45.7%

Daniel Vallejo
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierluigi Basile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Pierluigi Basile - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basile is ranked ATP: 564. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 232.

Basile is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vallejo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierluigi Basile
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Nerman Fatic - Pierluigi Basile	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Pierluigi Basile - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Radu Albot - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Pierluigi Basile - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Pierluigi Basile - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWWWW
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Daniel Vallejo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Facundo Mena - Daniel Vallejo	Mena F. retired ✺
12.06.25	Daniel Vallejo - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LL?LW

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