Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Fajing Sun		Aoran Wang

	1	2
			Watch
	1.07	6.75
	1.07	6.8	Watch
	1.06	7.1	Watch
	1.06	8.45
	1.07	6.6	Watch
	1.07	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.13)	7.08 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
86.9%

Aoran Wang
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fajing Sun's performance.

Aoran Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aoran Wang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Fajing Sun - Aoran Wang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 299., and Wang is ranked ATP: 982..

Sun has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Wang could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Sun as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sun has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Fajing Sun - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Fajing Sun - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWL
- Aoran Wang
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Aoran Wang - Yaojie Zeng	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Omar Jasika - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.06.26	Kuan-Yi Lee - Aoran Wang	Canceled ✺
18.06.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.05.24	Aoran Wang - Fajing Sun	0:2

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