Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jingshan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Bernard Tomic		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.20
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.53	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)	2.2 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
57.6%

Fajing Sun
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajing Sun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sun will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 182., and Sun is ranked ATP: 314..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Tomic could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tomic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tomic has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:2 (averaging 0:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Fajing Sun - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.36%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Rigele Te	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW
- Fajing Sun
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Fajing Sun - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Fajing Sun - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Fajing Sun - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	0:2
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Fajing Sun - Bernard Tomic	Canceled

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