Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Fajing Sun		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.40
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.52	2.35
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.51	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.87)	2.37 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
60.8%

Matthew Dellavedova
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fajing Sun's performance.

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Dellavedova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fajing Sun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Dellavedova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Fajing Sun - Matthew Dellavedova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dellavedova will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 314., and Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 270..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Dellavedova may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sun holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sun has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Fajing Sun - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Fajing Sun - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Jie Cui - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Fajing Sun - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW
- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Hunter Heck	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Enzo Aguiard	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.10.22	Fajing Sun - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2

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