Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangzhou 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alexandr Binda		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.40	1.28
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.26	1.29	Watch
	3.45	1.31
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.98)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandr Binda
27.7%

Fajing Sun
72.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Alexandr Binda - Fajing Sun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Binda is ranked ATP: 548. Sun is ranked ATP: 324.

Binda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sun is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandr Binda - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Kaito Uesugi	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Fajing Sun - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Jie Cui - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Fajing Sun - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Fajing Sun - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Alexandr Binda - Millen Hurrion	✺
25.10.26	Alexandr Binda - Jia Hu	✺
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	✺

Alexandr Binda - Fajing Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide