Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Fajing Sun		Alejo Sanchez Quilez

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.52	1.33
	3.42	1.28	Watch
	3.35	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.36)	1.29 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
27.2%

Alejo Sanchez Quilez
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fajing Sun's form might have worsened.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejo Sanchez Quilez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fajing Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejo Sanchez Quilez than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejo Sanchez Quilez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Fajing Sun - Alejo Sanchez Quilez Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sanchez Quilez will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 197. Sanchez Quilez is ranked ATP: 485.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Fajing Sun - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Alex Bolt - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Mark Lajal - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Ognjen Milic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Cezar Cretu - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

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