Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tyler, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday


	Fajing Sun		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	2.01	1.72
	2.06	1.71
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)	1.7 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
45.5%

Andre Ilagan
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fajing Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andre Ilagan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Fajing Sun - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Ilagan will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilagan: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 265. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 335.

Recent form of Sun has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ilagan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ilagan might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
29.05.26	Fajing Sun - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Fajing Sun - Dakotah Bobo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Fajing Sun - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Fajing Sun - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
30.05.26	Andre Ilagan - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Andre Ilagan - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Enzo Aguiard - Andre Ilagan	Aguiard E. Retired ✺
25.05.26	Andre Ilagan - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Andre Ilagan - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LW?WL

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