Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Kaukeyeva M. (Kaz)


	Fajing Sun		Evgeny Karlovskiy

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	2.61 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
64.4%

Evgeny Karlovskiy
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Evgeny Karlovskiy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Fajing Sun - Evgeny Karlovskiy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 392. Karlovskiy is ranked ATP: 411.

Sun is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Karlovskiy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sun will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Yan Bai - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Fajing Sun - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
15.08.24	Yaojie Zeng - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Edward Winter - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Sanhui Shin - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Max Wiskandt - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW

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