Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Giulio Zeppieri		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.19	4.6	Watch
	1.2	5.05
	1.15	5.43	Watch
	1.21	4.52	Watch
	1.23	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.32)	4.73 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Zeppieri
79.9%

Fajing Sun
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giulio Zeppieri's performance.

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fajing Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Zeppieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajing Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Giulio Zeppieri - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zeppieri will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sun will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 169. Sun is ranked ATP: 236.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zeppieri is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. retired ✺
09.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Giulio Zeppieri	Canceled ✺
07.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WW??W
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Fajing Sun - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	James McCabe - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Fajing Sun - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Fajing Sun - Ye Cong Mo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Fajing Sun - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL

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