Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Fajing Sun		Kasidit Samrej

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.46	2.63	Watch
	1.47	2.48	Watch
	1.48	2.60
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	2.56 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
63.7%

Kasidit Samrej
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Kasidit Samrej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Fajing Sun - Kasidit Samrej Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 303., and Samrej is ranked ATP: 397..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Sun may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sun has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Kasidit Samrej - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.68%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Fajing Sun - Aoran Wang	Wang A. Retired ✺
29.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Fajing Sun - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Fajing Sun - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ?LLWW
- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Kasidit Samrej - Enzo Aguiard	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Rawat Sidharth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Kasidit Samrej - Fajing Sun	2:1

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