Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Li Tu

	1	2
	2.55	1.54
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.56)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
38%

Li Tu
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Hayato Matsuoka - Li Tu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 365. Tu is ranked ATP: 416.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Matsuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hayato Matsuoka - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Soon Woo Kwon	Kwon S. Retired ✺
26.03.26	James McCabe - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWL?W
- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Kody Pearson - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Li Tu - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Pavle Marinkov - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Omar Jasika - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Hayato Matsuoka - Li Tu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide